The S&P 500 Index is known for exhibiting clear seasonality trends. In the current year, the index has closely followed its seasonal pattern. March is an exciting month for investors who are interested in seasonal patterns.
Between mid-March (around March 15th) and mid-April (around April 15th), there is a pronounced pattern that suggests higher prices. Historically, the S&P 500 has experienced an increase in prices between March 25th and April 4th in 19 out of 20 years, or in 95% of cases. In 2022, the increase during this period was 1.3%, in 2021 it was 5.1%, and in 2020 it was 1.3%. However, caution should be exercised after the anticipated price surge. Historically, May has not been an easy month for the market.
Investors who pay attention to seasonal patterns may find these trends intriguing. The S&P 500’s seasonality is linked to various factors, including investor psychology, tax considerations, and corporate earnings reports. As we approach the end of the first quarter of the year, many investors will be closely watching the market for signs of a potential price surge.